Why the Gold Standard Is the World's Worst Economic Idea

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Dardedar
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Why the Gold Standard Is the World's Worst Economic Idea

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Why the Gold Standard Is the World's Worst Economic Idea, in 2 Charts

Matthew O'Brien, associate editor at The Atlantic
Aug 26, 2012

Whether it's 1896 or 2012, it doesn't make sense to crucify our economy on a cross of gold

The greatest trick Ron Paul ever pulled was convincing the world that the gold standard leads to stable prices.

Well, maybe not the world. Just the Republican Party. After a 32-year hiatus, the party's official platform will include a plank calling for a commission to look at the possible return of the gold standard. There might be worse ideas than this, but they generally involve jumping off the Brooklyn Bridge because everybody else is doing it.

Economics is often a contentious subject, but economists agree about the gold standard -- it is a barbarous relic that belongs in the dustbin of history. As University of Chicago professor Richard Thaler points out, exactly zero economists endorsed the idea in a recent poll. What makes it such an idea non grata? It prevents the central bank from fighting recessions by outsourcing monetary policy decisions to how much gold we have -- which, in turn, depends on our trade balance and on how much of the shiny rock we can dig up. When we peg the dollar to gold we have to raise interest rates when gold is scarce, regardless of the state of the economy. This policy inflexibility was the major cause of the Great Depression, as governments were forced to tighten policy at the worst possible moment. It's no coincidence that the sooner a country abandoned the gold standard, the sooner it began recovering.

Why would anyone want to go back to the bad old days? The gold standard limited central banks from printing money when economies needed central banks to print money, and limited governments from running deficits when economies needed governments to run deficits. It was a devilish device for turning recessions into depressions. The answer is that some people aren't worried about depressions. Some people are worried about inflation. Even when none exists. To them, these fetters are the feature, not a bug.

It's a simple idea. If governments can't print or spend too much money, prices should be stable. Simple, but wrong. Consider the chart below, which shows headline CPI inflation under the gold standard from June 1919 to March 1933*. Not exactly an, ahem, golden age of price stability.

Image

The rest here... The Atlantic
"I'm not a skeptic because I want to believe, I'm a skeptic because I want to know." --Michael Shermer
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Re: Why the Gold Standard Is the World's Worst Economic Idea

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Paul Krugman: Gold Standard Would Ruin U.S. Economy

"The Republican Party plans to call for the creation of a commission that would explore the return of the gold standard, or tying the value of the U.S. dollar to the price of gold, the Financial Times reported on Thursday:

"[Krugman]... wrote in a Sunday blog post that a return to the gold standard would lay waste to an already struggling U.S. economy.

"Now, the gold bugs will no doubt reply that under a gold standard big bubbles couldn’t happen, and therefore there wouldn’t be major financial crises. And it’s true: under the gold standard America had no major financial panics other than in 1873, 1884, 1890, 1893, 1907, 1930, 1931, 1932, and 1933. Oh, wait.
The truth is that returning to gold is an almost comically (and cosmically) bad idea."
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"I'm not a skeptic because I want to believe, I'm a skeptic because I want to know." --Michael Shermer
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Re: Why the Gold Standard Is the World's Worst Economic Idea

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"[Gold] gets dug out of the ground in Africa, or someplace. Then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury it again and pay people to stand around guarding it. It has no utility. Anyone watching from Mars would be scratching their head." --Warren Buffet (via supak, intrade)
"I'm not a skeptic because I want to believe, I'm a skeptic because I want to know." --Michael Shermer
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Re: Why the Gold Standard Is the World's Worst Economic Idea

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Darrel wrote:"[Gold] gets dug out of the ground in Africa, or someplace. Then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury it again and pay people to stand around guarding it. It has no utility. Anyone watching from Mars would be scratching their head." --Warren Buffet (via supak, intrade)
Ripped from Bertrand Russell's essay "The Modern Midas," in 1932:

"Of all the reputedly useful occupations, about the most absurd is gold- mining. Gold is dug out of the earth in South Africa, and is conveyed, with infinite precautions against theft and accident, to London or Paris or New York, where it is again placed underground in the vaults of banks. It might just as well have been left underground in South Africa."
"We could have done something important Max. We could have fought child abuse or Republicans!" --Oona Hart (played by Victoria Foyt), in the 1995 movie "Last Summer in the Hamptons."
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Re: Why the Gold Standard Is the World's Worst Economic Idea

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"I'm not a skeptic because I want to believe, I'm a skeptic because I want to know." --Michael Shermer
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